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CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.NVIDIA's decline widened to 3%.New york gold futures rose about 1.3% and returned to $2,720. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, spot gold rose 1.27% to $2,694.10 per ounce, which continued to fluctuate upward during the day, with a trading range of $2,658.05-2,695.62. Spot silver rose 0.20% to $31.9055 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose 1.28% to $2,720.00 per ounce, with an intraday trading range of $2,680.70-$2,721.30. COMEX silver futures rose 0.62% to $32.6450 an ounce. COMEX copper futures rose 0.31% to $4.2710/lb.

The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Industry Report: API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by about 500,000 barrels last week. According to american petroleum institute (API) data, API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by+499,000 barrels in the week of December 6, compared with+1.232 million barrels in the previous week. Last week, API Cushing crude oil inventory was-1.517 million barrels, with the previous value of+112,000 barrels. Last week, the inventory of API refined oil gasoline was+2.852 million barrels (previous value+4.623 million barrels) and the inventory of distillate oil was-185,000 barrels (previous value+1.014 million barrels).Nearly half of the listed securities firms announced the roadmap of improving quality and increasing efficiency. Recently, Capital Securities and two listed securities firms in central china securities successively disclosed the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024, and disclosed the company's next plan from many aspects, such as strengthening functional positioning, improving operating quality and enhancing investors' returns. Since Founder Securities announced the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024 in April this year, by the time of china securities journal's press release on December 10th, there were 20 A-share listed brokers who announced relevant announcements and carried out relevant actions, accounting for nearly half. Combing the schemes disclosed by brokers, it is found that, while actively responding to the development of financial services to the real economy and new quality productivity, in the face of the competitive environment where industry concentration is expected to be further enhanced and the "Matthew effect" is further intensified, brokers with different characteristics and sizes have also combined their own endowments in their action plans to disclose future differentiated competitive ideas. (CSI)

Since December, overseas institutions have investigated 28 listed companies, focusing on three major industries. According to statistics, 32 overseas institutions have investigated 28 listed companies in the past seven trading days since December. Among them, Lubomai Fund has the largest number of research companies, and has investigated 3 listed companies, including Steady Medical, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank and Weike Technology. In addition, four overseas institutions, including Manulife Finance, Boyu Capital and Leiya Investment, respectively investigated two listed companies. In terms of industries, overseas institutions mainly favor automobile, computer and mechanical equipment, with four research companies each, followed by electronics, food and beverage, medicine and biology, with two listed companies each being investigated by overseas institutions. According to statistics, Huichuan Technology, Desai Siwei, Hanzhong Seiki and Angang are the most concerned by overseas institutions, with 30, 8, 7 and 7 researchers respectively. According to the research activities, overseas institutions are mainly concerned about the competitive advantages of listed companies, the progress of internationalization, and the situation of reducing costs and increasing efficiency. (Securities Times)Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)The Houthi armed forces in Yemen claimed to have attacked two American destroyers and three frigates in the Gulf of Aden. The Houthi armed forces in Yemen issued a statement announcing military operations against a series of targets, including attacking "two American destroyers and three frigates" in the Gulf of Aden, and attacking regional targets such as Jaffa in Israel.